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2024-12-13 04:36:53

The global central bank's big move at the end of the year is surging in the foreign exchange market, and the end of the year is approaching, and the global central bank has entered an intensive interest rate discussion cycle. In the next two weeks, monetary policy meetings of major central banks around the world will follow one after another-this week, many central banks including the European Central Bank, the Bank of Canada, the Reserve Bank of Australia, and the Swiss National Bank will announce interest rate resolutions; Next week, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England will also take turns to stir up the market. (SSE)Ministry of Commerce: Vigorously develop digital consumption, green consumption and healthy consumption and improve consumption conditions. Yang Wei, deputy director of the Consumption Promotion Department of the Ministry of Commerce, said that in the next step, the Ministry of Commerce will promote the implementation of the trade-in policy for consumer goods, so that more consumers can get real money. Organize all kinds of activities for the integration of business travel, culture and sports; Actively promote the start-up economy and vigorously develop digital consumption, green consumption and healthy consumption; Take measures to improve consumption conditions at the same time. In cities, it is necessary to deepen the cultivation and construction of international consumption center cities, promote the renovation of pedestrian streets and business districts and upgrade the format, and enhance the urban consumption level; In rural areas, we will deepen the three-year action of county-level commercial construction and implement the high-quality development project of rural e-commerce to make rural residents' consumption more convenient.The cost performance ratio of dividend asset allocation is once again highlighted, and institutions are optimistic about the current layout window period. On December 9, the three major stock indexes in the A-share market fluctuated and closed down, and the petroleum, petrochemical, steel and public utilities sectors with high dividend characteristics were among the top gainers. According to industry insiders, recently, dividend-related ETFs have been allocated more market funds, and the superimposed long-term interest rate has once again broken through the previous shock center. The price/performance ratio of the high dividend sector, which is not prominent in this round of increase, will once again be highlighted. The end of the year to January next year is the allocation window of high dividend assets. It is recommended to actively seize the opportunities in the direction of banks, coal and other industries. (CSI)


Oracle Bone Inscriptions (ORCL.N) has an adjusted revenue of $14.06 billion in the second quarter, with an expected revenue of $14.12 billion.In November, the sales of new energy passenger cars increased by more than 50%. On December 9, the data released by the Association showed that the national new energy passenger car market retailed 1.268 million vehicles in November, a substantial increase of 50.5% year-on-year. From January to November this year, the cumulative retail sales reached 9.594 million vehicles, up 41.2% year-on-year. Cui Dongshu, Secretary-General of the Passenger Car Association, believes that since the fourth quarter, the sales volume of passenger cars has continued to strengthen. With the countdown of this round of car scrapping and old-for-new policies, the auto market is expected to usher in a "tail-lifting market" in December this year. (CSI)In less than 24 hours, more than 200 earthquakes occurred in El Salvador. On the morning of December 9, local time, the Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources of El Salvador reported that there were 224 earthquakes in the country in the past less than 24 hours. The report shows that the eastern part of El Salvador is the region with the most frequent earthquakes. Frequent earthquakes in this area have caused houses to collapse, landslides and falling rocks. On the evening of the 8th local time, the magnitude of the earthquake near Conchado reached 5.6, followed by several earthquakes of magnitude 2.5-5. In addition, the geological faults in Raonyon province have been active recently, and earthquakes of magnitude 5.8 or above may occur.


Ukraine plans to hold a contact group meeting to discuss ending the war through diplomatic means. On December 9, local time, Ukrainian Presidential Press Secretary Nichiforov said that Ukraine plans to hold a contact group meeting in December to discuss the common position of ending the war through diplomatic means. Nichiforov said that the list of contact groups is still being worked out. Ukrainian President Zelensky said on the 8th that the members of the Contact Group may include Germany, France, Britain, Italy, Poland, Denmark and other countries.Reminder: Please pay attention to it during the day (the following are all Beijing time). ① It is possible to release the total amount of M2 money supply, new RMB loans and financing in China in November; ② The time to be determined is China's import and export and trade account in November; ③ At 11: 30, the Reserve Bank of Australia announced the interest rate resolution; ④ At 12: 30, Reserve Bank of Australia Chairman Brock held a press conference on monetary policy; ⑤ 15:00 Germany's November CPI final value; ⑥ At 01:00 the next day, us energy information administration (EIA) released the monthly short-term energy outlook report (STEO); ⑦ At 05:30 the next day, american petroleum institute (API) released the weekly crude oil inventory report.The market generally expects that the central bank will still have the probability of cutting interest rates in 2025, and the market generally expects that the central bank will still have the probability of cutting interest rates in 2025, and the yield of government bonds in the next 10 years will drop to around 1.8%. Therefore, the "rush to run" behavior of institutions is more obvious, and the yield of 10-year government bonds fell below 2%, challenging 1.9%. From the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank will continue to cut interest rates. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. (SSE)

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